Formal Safety Assessment (FSA) has been widely applied in developing Maritime Safety standards by International Maritime Organization (IMO). It is an applying process of risk analysis and risk management theory to maritime safety standard-settings. FSA projects, completed by some member states, have been submitted to IMO for consideration and the results will gradually affect IMO standard-settings. These research projects have verified and enriched FSA-based risk analysis and risk acceptance criteria recommended by IMO, and a relatively systematic risk acceptance criteria has been developed. Based on the summarization of these acceptance criteria, this paper formulates a relatively comprehensive index system applicable in maritime safety risk assessment. Furthermore, the paper highlights the absence of human error probability index of marine accidents in the current risk acceptance criteria. In order to improve the drawbacks of lack of randomness resulted from inadequate observational data in human error analysis and increase the credibility of the calculated human error probability, the paper suggests the introduction of Monte Carlo model to the existing human error quantitative analysis methodology. The findings of this paper will enhance the effectiveness of maritime safety risk assessment and benefit the validity of human error analysis in marine accidents.
Application of Risk Acceptance Criteria in Developing Maritime Safety Standards
Tenth International Conference of Chinese Transportation Professionals (ICCTP) ; 2010 ; Beijing, China
ICCTP 2010 ; 923-934
2010-07-22
Conference paper
Electronic Resource
English
Application of Risk Acceptance Criteria in Developing Maritime Safety Standards
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