The invention discloses an airport scene operation risk comprehensive evaluation method based on probability measurement, and relates to the technical field of airport scene operation risk evaluation. According to the airport scene operation risk comprehensive evaluation method based on probability measurement, air traffic monitoring data are analyzed through a Markov model, flight risk factors influencing air traffic safety are identified, the occurrence probability of the flight risk factors is quantified through probability measurement, and an air traffic risk index is evaluated; the method comprises the following steps: analyzing ground traffic data through probability measurement, evaluating a ground traffic risk index, evaluating an airport safety equipment fault risk through fault tree analysis, obtaining a safety equipment fault risk index, carrying out weighted synthesis on each risk index by using an analytic hierarchy process, and obtaining an airport scene operation comprehensive risk index. According to the method, the airport operation safety risk can be scientifically and systematically evaluated, and data support is provided for airport safety management and emergency decision.
本发明公开了基于概率测度的机场场面运行风险综合评价方法,涉及机场场面运行风险评估技术领域。该基于概率测度的机场场面运行风险综合评价方法,通过马尔科夫模型分析空中交通监控数据,识别影响空中交通安全的飞行风险因子,通过概率测度量化飞行风险因子的发生概率,评估空中交通风险指数;通过概率测度分析地面交通数据,评估地面交通风险指数,通过故障树分析评估机场安全设备故障风险,得出安全设备故障风险指数,使用层次分析法对各风险指数进行加权综合,得出机场场面运行综合风险指数。该方法能够科学、系统地评估机场运行安全风险,为机场安全管理和应急决策提供数据支持。
Airport scene operation risk comprehensive evaluation method based on probability measurement
基于概率测度的机场场面运行风险综合评价方法
2025-04-04
Patent
Electronic Resource
Chinese
IPC: | G06Q Datenverarbeitungssysteme oder -verfahren, besonders angepasst an verwaltungstechnische, geschäftliche, finanzielle oder betriebswirtschaftliche Zwecke, sowie an geschäftsbezogene Überwachungs- oder Voraussagezwecke , DATA PROCESSING SYSTEMS OR METHODS, SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL, SUPERVISORY OR FORECASTING PURPOSES / G08G Anlagen zur Steuerung, Regelung oder Überwachung des Verkehrs , TRAFFIC CONTROL SYSTEMS / G06F ELECTRIC DIGITAL DATA PROCESSING , Elektrische digitale Datenverarbeitung |
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