The invention discloses a construction method of a road transfer traffic volume prediction model, which comprises the following steps: collecting flow monitoring data and influence data of preset road traffic, and preprocessing the flow monitoring data and the influence data; performing time-varying screening on the flow monitoring data to obtain time-varying data, and performing behavior preference analysis on the time-varying data to obtain a transition probability; performing influence analysis on the influence data to obtain an indefinite factor, and constructing a road transfer traffic volume prediction model according to the transfer probability, the indefinite factor and the flow monitoring data; and optimizing the road transfer traffic volume prediction model according to the prediction error, and outputting a target model. The method not only can improve the precision of road transfer traffic volume prediction, but also has good interpretability, and can be directly applied to a road transfer traffic volume prediction system.

    本发明公开了公路转移交通量预测模型的构建方法,包括采集预设公路交通的流量监测数据和影响数据,对所述流量监测数据所述影响数据进行预处理;通过所述流量监测数据进行时变筛选获得时变数据,对所述时变数据进行行为偏好分析获得转移概率;对所述影响数据进行影响分析获得不定因子,根据所述转移概率、所述不定因子和所述流量监测数据构建公路转移交通量预测模型;根据预测误差优化所述公路转移交通量预测模型,输出目标模型。该方法不仅可以提高公路转移交通量预测的精度,同时具有较好的可解释性,可以直接应用于公路转移交通量预测系统中。


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    Title :

    Construction method of road transfer traffic volume prediction model


    Additional title:

    公路转移交通量预测模型的构建方法


    Contributors:
    GENG QINGQIAO (author) / JI XU (author) / YU XINXIN (author) / QIU DIXIAN (author) / WANG YU (author) / RAO ZONGHAO (author) / CUI SHU (author) / LIN LIXIAN (author) / WANG JIALI (author) / LI MENG (author)

    Publication date :

    2025-04-15


    Type of media :

    Patent


    Type of material :

    Electronic Resource


    Language :

    Chinese


    Classification :

    IPC:    G06N COMPUTER SYSTEMS BASED ON SPECIFIC COMPUTATIONAL MODELS , Rechnersysteme, basierend auf spezifischen Rechenmodellen / G08G Anlagen zur Steuerung, Regelung oder Überwachung des Verkehrs , TRAFFIC CONTROL SYSTEMS / G06F ELECTRIC DIGITAL DATA PROCESSING , Elektrische digitale Datenverarbeitung



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