Abstract This paper aims to provide a practical method for forecasting potential container cargo volume that can be induced by a port development project on a container transport network by combining port choice and an autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model. The entrance channel improvement plan for Incheon New Port in South Korea is used as a case study. Based on the stated preference data collected from domestic shippers, a discrete choice analysis is performed to estimate the future market share of three major ports in South Korea: Busan, Gwangyang, and Incheon. The estimated market share of Incheon New Port is used to forecast its future container volume derived by the ARIMA model and the potential port development scenarios.


    Access

    Check access

    Check availability in my library

    Order at Subito €


    Export, share and cite



    Title :

    Forecasting container port volume: implications for dredging


    Contributors:

    Published in:

    Publication date :

    2017-01-04


    Size :

    19 pages




    Type of media :

    Article (Journal)


    Type of material :

    Electronic Resource


    Language :

    English




    INTAKE PORT STRUCTURE FOR DREDGING

    WATANABE KATSUTOSHI / MATSUBARA IWAO | European Patent Office | 2019

    Free access

    Developing Mitigation for Port Related Dredging Permits

    Sosnow, A. D. / ASCE / Committee on Ports and Harbors| Permanent International Association of Navigation Congresses et al. | British Library Conference Proceedings | 1995


    Case Study on Dredging at Tuticorin Port

    Chellappan, V. / Indian Institute of Technology | British Library Conference Proceedings | 2001


    The Implications for Container Port Security

    Zhang, Xufan / Roe, Michael | Springer Verlag | 2019


    Proposed Naval Station Container Terminal Dredging & Disposal

    Pierce, K. A. / Johnson, T. / Steinorth, H. et al. | British Library Conference Proceedings | 1998