We propose a multifidelity formulation for generating cokriging surrogates of complex physics models. First, we show that the standard autoregressive recursive approach may be subject to substantial limitations due to possible modeler’s biases/errors. These are inherent to the process of establishing a nested hierarchy concerning the alleged fidelity of the available models. The formulation we propose mitigates this issue. At each hierarchy level, the predictor consists of a linear combination of all previous levels instead of just the underlying one. The methodology implies a slightly higher training cost for the surrogate. However, the higher training cost is acceptable, considering the effort typically required to generate data in aerospace applications. A few artificial tests, including the optimization of a two-dimensional airfoil, illustrate strengths and weaknesses of the approach.
Debiased Multifidelity Approach to Surrogate Modeling in Aerospace Applications
Journal of Aircraft ; 1-14
2025-07-01
Article (Journal)
Electronic Resource
English
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