The invention discloses an air traffic flow chaos prediction method and system, a storage medium and a terminal. The air traffic flow chaos prediction method comprises the following steps: constructing an air traffic flow chaos time sequence prediction model; judging whether the air traffic flow has a chaotic characteristic or not; if yes, carrying out normalization processing on the air traffic flow time sequence; according to the air traffic flow time sequence after normalization processing, phase-space reconstruction parameter delay time and embedding dimension are determined; performing phase-space reconstruction on the air traffic flow time sequence after normalization processing by using the determined delay time and the embedding dimension; and inputting the air traffic flow time sequence after phase-space reconstruction into the constructed air traffic flow chaotic time sequence prediction model for prediction. The model is verified through actual traffic flow data, and compared with a traditional method, the method has better prediction precision and prediction speed for the air traffic flow time sequence.

    本发明公开了一种空中交通流量混沌预测方法及系统、存储介质、终端。其中,空中交通流量混沌预测方法,包括如下步骤:构建空中交通流量混沌时间序列预测模型;判断所述空中交通流是否具有混沌特性;若有,则对空中交通流量时间序列进行归一化处理;根据归一化处理后的空中交通流量时间序列,确定相空间重构参数延迟时间和嵌入维度;利用确定的延迟时间和嵌入维度,对归一化处理后的空中交通流量时间序列进行相空间重构;将相空间重构后的空中交通流量时间序列输入到构建的空中交通流量混沌时间序列预测模型中进行预测。通过实际交通流数据对模型进行验证,相比传统方法利用本申请对空中交通流量时间序列具有更好预测精度和预测速度。


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    Title :

    Chaotic prediction method and system for air traffic flow, storage medium and terminal


    Additional title:

    空中交通流量混沌预测方法及系统、存储介质、终端


    Contributors:
    WANG LILI (author) / ZHAO YUNFEI (author)

    Publication date :

    2023-03-17


    Type of media :

    Patent


    Type of material :

    Electronic Resource


    Language :

    Chinese


    Classification :

    IPC:    G06N COMPUTER SYSTEMS BASED ON SPECIFIC COMPUTATIONAL MODELS , Rechnersysteme, basierend auf spezifischen Rechenmodellen / G06Q Datenverarbeitungssysteme oder -verfahren, besonders angepasst an verwaltungstechnische, geschäftliche, finanzielle oder betriebswirtschaftliche Zwecke, sowie an geschäftsbezogene Überwachungs- oder Voraussagezwecke , DATA PROCESSING SYSTEMS OR METHODS, SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL, SUPERVISORY OR FORECASTING PURPOSES / G08G Anlagen zur Steuerung, Regelung oder Überwachung des Verkehrs , TRAFFIC CONTROL SYSTEMS



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