The former Dienst Verkeerskunde of Rijkswaterstaat asked the SWOV Institute for Road Safety Research to develop a prognosis model for estimating: (1) trends in traffic safety in the Netherlands; and (2) the consequences of measures and developments in personal mobility on this decrease in safety. Important elements in the structure of this prognosis model are: (1) transport mode in relation with type of collision; (2) road type; and (3) age and sex. The prognosis model is designed to make longer-term forecasts than the Traffic Safety Module of the Mobility Explorer. It is argued that the mobility prognoses taken from the Mobility Explorer are not appropriate to make these forecasts. Therefore, other mobility models have to be used, such as the Dutch National Model System and its regional elaborations.
Mobiliteit en Verkeersveiligheid 2: De Ontwikkeling van een Prognosemodel (Mobility and Traffic Safety 2: The Development of a Prognosis Model)
1992
50 pages
Report
No indication
English
Transportation Safety , Road Transportation , Transportation & Traffic Planning , Transportation , Traffic safety , Transportation models , Mobility , Accident risk forecasting , Mileage , Accident risks , Netherlands , Mathematical models , Injury rates , Accident rates , Transportation planning , Foreign technology