This chapter is aimed at analyzing the energy consumptionEnergy consumption of transportation industry in ChinaChina and its relationship with national energy security from a macro and quantitative point of view. Based on analyses of historical transportation energy demand and relevant planning policies, regression models were established in order to estimate the demand and structure changes of transportation. Combined with the main factors affecting transportation energy consumptionEnergy consumption, an econometric model was established using the Partial Least Square Regression method to analysis and predict the transportation energy consumptionEnergy consumption scenarios as well as energy-saving rate in ChinaChina in the middle and long-term. Study results confirm that ChinaChina’s transportation demand and its energy consumptionEnergy consumption will keep growing within a period of time, and transportation structure has changed a lot in the past two decades, with road and air transport currently the fastest developing transport modes. Future growth of transportation system’s energy consumptionEnergy consumption, especially petroleum consumption will pose a serious threat to energy security in ChinaChina. Technique substitution, especially in road transport mode may significantly mitigate the energy gap.


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    Title :

    Transportation Energy Consumption and Energy Security in China


    Additional title:

    Topics in Safety, Risk


    Contributors:

    Published in:

    Infranomics ; Chapter : 10 ; 139-152


    Publication date :

    2013-12-04


    Size :

    14 pages





    Type of media :

    Article/Chapter (Book)


    Type of material :

    Electronic Resource


    Language :

    English