As urban air mobility moves rapidly toward real-world deployment, accurate vehicle trajectory prediction and early collision risk detection are vital for safe low-altitude operations. This study presents a deep learning framework based on an LSTM–Attention network that captures both short-term flight dynamics and long-range dependencies in trajectory data. The model is trained on fifty-six routes generated from a UAM planned commercialization network, sampled at 0.1 s intervals. To unify spatial dimensions, the model uses Earth-Centered Earth-Fixed (ECEF) coordinates, enabling efficient Euclidean distance calculations. The trajectory prediction component achieves an RMSE of 0.2172, MAE of 0.1668, and MSE of 0.0524. The collision classification module built on the LSTM–Attention prediction backbone delivers an accuracy of 0.9881. Analysis of attention weight distributions reveals which temporal segments most influence model outputs, enhancing interpretability and guiding future refinements. Moreover, this model is embedded within the Short-Term Conflict Alert component of the Safety Nets module in the UAM traffic management system to provide continuous trajectory prediction and collision risk assessment, supporting proactive traffic control. The system exhibits robust generalizability on unseen scenarios and offers a scalable foundation for enhancing operational safety. Validation currently excludes environmental disturbances such as wind, physical obstacles, and real-world flight logs. Future work will incorporate atmospheric variability, sensor and communication uncertainties, and obstacle detection inputs to advance toward a fully integrated traffic management solution with comprehensive situational awareness.
A Deep Learning-Based Trajectory and Collision Prediction Framework for Safe Urban Air Mobility
2025
Aufsatz (Zeitschrift)
Elektronische Ressource
Unbekannt
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