SWOV Institute for Road Safety Research was asked to develop the Traffic Safety Module to be used in combination with the Mobility Explorer by the former Dienst Verkeerskunde of Rijkswaterstaat. The module is a calculation model for short-term forecasting of the number of traffic accidents and victims, in the Netherlands. In doing so, the module uses mobility prognoses for the same year. It consists of two parts: (1) a risk module for converting the risks in a base year into the risks for a certain prognosis year, disaggregated by: (1) seriousness of injuries; (2) transport mode; (3) age; (4) sex; (5) hours of the day; and (6) road type; and (2) a calculation model for converting the prognoses of (1) both passenger and freight transport traveled kilometers and (2) risks into prognoses of the number of victims. This number can be disaggregated by the same variables as used in the risk module. However, the 'road type' variable can be used, when sufficient data is available, when forecasting the effects of passenger and freight transportation developments.
Mobiliteit en Verkeersveiligheid 1. De Ontwikkeling van een Verkeersveiligheidsmodule bij de INRO-TNO/IVVS-Mobiliteitsverkenner (Mobility and Safety 1. The Development of a Traffic Safety Module of the TNO Institute of Spatial Organization's and Project Bureau for Integrated Transport Studies' Mobility Explorer)
1992
68 pages
Report
Keine Angabe
Englisch
Transportation Safety , Road Transportation , Transportation & Traffic Planning , Transportation , Accident risk forecasting , Injury rates , Freight transportation , Passenger transportation , Mobility , Accident risks , Transportation safety , Accident rates , Mathematical models , Mileage , Accident severity , Transportation models , Netherlands , Foreign technology