The 71-mile Bay Area Rapid Transit (BART) System, serving San Francisco, Oakland, Berkeley, and their suburbs, is the first regional-scale rapid transit system to open in the United States in over 50 years. This report is one of a series assessing the impact of BART on transportation and travel in the Bay Area. Travel modes are defined in terms of 14 service attributes including quantifiable attributes such as travel time and cost, and more difficult-to-quantify attributes such as dependability and safety. Disaggregate models which relate mode-choice probability to perceived satisfaction with the alternative modes are estimated using data for the 14 attributes collected by semantic differential scales. Several different models are estimated and compared for BART-bus and BART-auto choices, for work and nonwork trip purposes, for geographic stratifications of the data, and using linear and logit functional forms. The models provide convincing explanations of mode choice behavior and show that travel time and travel time-related attributes such as dependability and flexibility are the dominant determinants of choice. However, large improvements in BART's service are indicated as necessary to increase ridership significantly assuming bus and automobile service levels remain unchanged.
Explanatory Modeling of Transbay Travel Choice
1977
110 pages
Report
Keine Angabe
Englisch
Transportation & Traffic Planning , Metropolitan Rail Transportation , Rapid transit railways , Travel patterns , Urban transportation , Regional planning , Services , Traffic surveys , Transportation models , California , Bay Area rapid transit , San Francisco(California) , Oakland(California) , Berkeley(California) , Modal split models , Modal analysis
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