Abstract In the next few years there is likely to be a large growth of interest in the dynamic modelling of travel behaviour. In order to try to avoid the eventual collapse of enthusiasm which has sometimes occurred with other new developments when they turn out not to provide transport planning with the hoped-for panacea, this paper aims to demonstrate the diversity of approaches which will be required to tackle the subject of dynamics. In particular, it identifies three overlapping but distinct levels at which dynamics interact with travel behaviour — microdynamics, which is concerned with the detailed scheduling of activities and travel within a day — macrodynamic modifiers, whereby changes in medium- and long-term behaviour which are often considered to be instantaneous are in fact subject to important phasing considerations — and macrodynamic processes, which deal with the overriding demographic processes of birth, ageing and death. The paper suggests approaches to the incorporation of these three topics into the forecasting of travel behaviour.


    Zugriff

    Zugriff über TIB

    Verfügbarkeit in meiner Bibliothek prüfen

    Bestellung bei Subito €


    Exportieren, teilen und zitieren



    Titel :

    Some issues of dynamics in forecasting travel behaviour — A discussion paper


    Beteiligte:
    Clarke, Mike (Autor:in) / Dix, Martin (Autor:in) / Goodwin, Phil (Autor:in)

    Erschienen in:

    Transportation ; 11 , 2 ; 153-172


    Erscheinungsdatum :

    1982




    Medientyp :

    Aufsatz (Zeitschrift)


    Format :

    Print


    Sprache :

    Englisch



    Klassifikation :

    BKL:    55.80 Verkehrswesen, Transportwesen: Allgemeines / 74.75 Verkehrsplanung, Verkehrspolitik
    Lokalklassifikation TIB:    535/7000



    Travel Demand Forecasting Models: Raising Some Issues

    Wachs, M. / National Research Council (U.S.) | British Library Conference Proceedings | 2008



    Forecasting Travel Time

    Roden, D. B. / National Research Council | British Library Conference Proceedings | 1996


    Travel Forecasting Guidelines

    P. Bass / D. G. Perkinson / B. Keitgen et al. | NTIS | 1994


    Urban travel forecasting

    National Research Council, Transportation Research Board, USA | TIBKAT | 1987