Abstract In this paper we model the uncertainty inherent in oil, electricity, and battery prices, in order to find the optimal renewal strategy for transport fleets in Germany from a car fleet operator’s perspective. We present a comprehensive statistical model of total operating costs for the usage of light duty vehicles in the transport industry. The model takes into consideration current and future power train technologies, such as internal combustion and electric engines. The framework allows for the calculation of sensitivities of the relevant explanatory variables (fuel price, interest rate, inflation rate, economic lifetime, subsidy/tax policies, and economic development). We also calculate and evaluate relevant diffusion scenarios for commercially used e-vehicles.
Optimal Renewal and Electrification Strategy for Commercial Car Fleets in Germany
1st ed. 2016
01.01.2016
7 pages
Aufsatz/Kapitel (Buch)
Elektronische Ressource
Englisch
Light Duty Vehicle , Annual Mileage , Battery Electric Vehicle , Electricity Price , Internal Combustion Engine Vehicle Operations Management , Business and Management , Operations Research, Management Science , Operation Research/Decision Theory , Game Theory, Economics, Social and Behav. Sciences , Engineering Economics, Organization, Logistics, Marketing
Optimal Renewal and Electrification Strategy for Commercial Car Fleets in Germany
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